Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has compiled 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 higher than he's compiled overall this year at home.
The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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