Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has compiled 3.9 assists per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Wizards have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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