Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has compiled 3.9 assists per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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