Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has posted 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile.
Malcolm Brogdon has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
While at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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