Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has posted 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
On their home court, the 76ers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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