Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The showdown with Wendell Carter Jr. with respect to getting to the free-throw line registers in only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this year when they are away from home.

Favors Under

Luke Kornet has converted a mere 0.0% of his three-point attempts this season, significantly lower than his 100.0 rate last season.
Luke Kornet has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Wendell Carter Jr. places in the 7th percentile with just 8.9 shots from the field against him per game this year.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Boston Celtics.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

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