Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 2:25 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The clash with Kel'el Ware ranks in the 90th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs burying a monstrous 40.5% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Luke Kornet will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Luke Kornet has converted just 0.0% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 100.0 rate last season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
Compared to last season's 90.5% mark, Luke Kornet's free-throw proficiency has diminished this season to 65.0%.

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