Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kornet has played 22.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's played in all games this year.
The showdown with Bam Adebayo lands in only the 96th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs draining a colossal 1.1 3-pointers per game this year when they are on the road.
The Celtics have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luke Kornet has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 26.3% more than he's sunk overall this year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 100.0% rate, Luke Kornet's 3-point effectiveness has dropped this season to 0.0%.
Luke Kornet has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
As it relates to shooting, the Celtics's unimpressive 46.0% field goal percentage when playing on the road measures as the 8th-fewest in the league over the last 20 games.
The slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Celtics.

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