Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kornet has sunk 74.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 14.9% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
The matchup with Donovan Clingan lands in the 79th percentile with the other team's starting Cs making an enormous 35.5% of their three-point attempts this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The clash with Donovan Clingan in regard to getting to the foul line slots into only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.9 foul shots per game this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 100.0% rate, Luke Kornet's 3-point efficiency has dropped this season to 0.0%.
Luke Kornet has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 20 games, totaling a lowly 17.8 foul shot attempts per game.

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