Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2025

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

LA Clippers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 22, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 3:39 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kornet has made 72.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 14.8% more than he's made in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luke Kornet rates in the 100th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a terrific 100.0% rate since the start of last season.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In regard to treys, the Boston Celtics's poor 35.2% rate of converted threes places 9th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Mo Bamba is a tough one for three-pointers; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk just 25.7% of their 3-point shots (7th percentile).
The slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Mo Bamba has been remarkably low this year (2.4 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 11th percentile).
Luke Kornet will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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