Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luke Kornet comes in at the 100th percentile for three-point prowess with a very good 100.0% rate since the start of last season.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc sunk against Clint Capela has been very high (0.9 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (80th percentile).
The Celtics will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 5th-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Luke Kornet has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 34.7% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

The slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.
As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the charity stripe on their home court: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling a mere 19.1 free throw attempts per game.

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