Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kornet has made 74.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a challenging one for field goal attempts; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (86.8).
The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 10thbest in in the league on their home court with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Luke Kornet has made 92.3% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
Away from their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's subpar 15.8 free throw attempts per game as the home team ranks worst in the league over the last 5 games.
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 24.0 free throws per game over the last 25 games (4th-most in the league).

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