Luke Kornet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Luke Kornet

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kornet

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kornet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Luke Kornet registers in the 95th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a terrific 65.5% rate this year.
The rate of treys made against Victor Wembanyama has been very high (48.9%) when he is on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (89th percentile).
The Celtics have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).

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