Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luke Kennard has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.9% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Luke Kennard has made just 1.8 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.7 rate last year.
The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Heat).
Luke Kennard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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