Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard rates in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.1 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The most up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Luke Kennard has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 14.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Luke Kennard has converted a measly 1.9 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.7 rate last year.
Luke Kennard ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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