Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-109/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Luke Kennard has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

Luke Kennard has made a measly 1.9 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly less than his 2.7 rate last season.
As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league while on the road over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one for scoring; when the LA Clippers are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (42.1%).
The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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