Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 1:24 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.
The quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Luke Kennard has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's converted overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Kings may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Favors Under

Luke Kennard has made a lowly 1.9 3-pointers per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.7 rate last year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have shot 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-worst in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a challenging matchup.
The Kings have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Luke Kennard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production for all stats.

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