Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has converted 55.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's made over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 2.7 clip, Luke Kennard's three-pointers hit have tailed off this year to 1.9 per game.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Luke Kennard ought to see a decline in production for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

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