Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2024

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 6, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SFs have compiled 11.3 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, creating a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 8thworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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