Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has successfully made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Luke Kennard has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (23rd percentile).
The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on threes (22nd-highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, branding this as a good matchup.
While at home, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 5th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies rank 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 0.8 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the 76ers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Luke Kennard ought to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.