Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-116/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has made 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the year away from home.
Among all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 1.1 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league without the home court advantage over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a favorable one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 6th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are on their home court (13th-least in the league).
Luke Kennard will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.