Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has sunk 51.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.9% more than he's made in all games this season.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
This matchup is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting team, opposing squads have compiled the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (33.8%).
Luke Kennard has successfully made 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Luke Kennard will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.7 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) against the Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted an enormous 23.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (4th-most in the league).