Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-fastest pace road team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has snagged 9.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 20.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games (38.5).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Grizzlies.

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