Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs New York Knicks · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.7%).
The New York Knicks have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has grabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Knicks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).
Out of all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard rates in the 100th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with a an excellent 100.0% rate this year.

Favors Under

Luke Kennard has successfully made just 39.7% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 48.2 rate last season.
The Grizzlies check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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