Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (12th percentile).
The Grizzlies have been the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in regard to shot attempts from downtown.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Luke Kennard has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Luke Kennard has sunk 36.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 0.8 three-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
Luke Kennard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.