Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 4.5 clip, Luke Kennard's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 5.7 per game.
Among all players in the league, Luke Kennard ranks in the 9th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a lowly 0.8 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 21st-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns).
The Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has brought down 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Suns (continuing possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the Phoenix Suns may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).
Luke Kennard should suffer a drop-off in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.