Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 4.5 mark, Luke Kennard's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this year to 5.9 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Luke Kennard rates in the 11th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 0.8 fouls per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA on the road this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has tallied 38.3 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Luke Kennard figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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