Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:33 PM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard measures in the 97th percentile for 3-point efficiency when playing at home with a a phenomenal 44.0% rate since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing at home this year in regard to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a difficult one for three-point attempts; opposing squads have totaled the 6th-fewest three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (32.4).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA as the road team this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Grizzlies's subpar 109.0 points per game as the road team settles in as the 5th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The LA Clippers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has attempted 25.2 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.
Luke Kennard should see a decline in effectiveness for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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