Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Luke Kennard places in the 98th percentile for 3-point prowess while on his home court with a a superb 45.9% rate since the start of last season.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has brought down 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).
Luke Kennard has converted 96.2% of his free throws at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

In regard to three-pointers, the Grizzlies's subpar 34.6% rate of converted threes when playing on the road measures as the 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, opposing squads have shot 37.5% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a good matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities today from facing the 8th-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Luke Kennard will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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