Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has scored 16.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's scored in all games this year.
Luke Kennard has converted 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Magic are away from home, opposing squads have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.3%).
The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Magic have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 26.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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