Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year when it comes to threes.
This matchup is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (37.5).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Grizzlies.
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted an enormous 29.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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