Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted just 19.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
This matchup is a favorable one for threes; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have put up the 6th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA against them this year (36.5%).
The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Grizzlies.

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