Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year in terms of three-pointers.
This matchup is a favorable one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (121.8).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; when the Nuggets are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 30.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

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