Luke Kennard Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a positive one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (121.5).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a whopping 28.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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