Luke Kennard Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Luke Kennard

NBA · Player Props

Luke Kennard

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Kennard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-147/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luke Kennard has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (12th percentile).
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
Luke Kennard will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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