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Luka Garza

Luka Garza Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2026

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Luka Garza Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Garza has averaged 12.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (43.4%).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should boost plays for the Celtics.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 4th-best in in the league as the home team with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to scoring, the Celtics's unimpressive 109.4 points per game playing at home ranks 2nd-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

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