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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Steals
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 1.8 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
  • Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
  • The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

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