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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Steals
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 1.3 steals per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

Luka Doncic has averaged just 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

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