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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/11/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged a lowly 7.4 defensive boards per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 8.5 defensive boards per game last season.
  • Luka Doncic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).
  • The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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