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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has compiled 7.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
  • Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
  • The 9th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
  • The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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