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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has posted 9.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's posted in all games this season.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
  • The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Luka Doncic is expected to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
  • The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
  • The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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