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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/4/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has put up 8.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put up in all games this season.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
  • Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improve player performance for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year.
  • The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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