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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/15/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 9.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
  • Luka Doncic has been on the court for 36.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).
  • Luka Doncic stands to suffer a reduction in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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