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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 8.1 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
  • Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
  • Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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