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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has put up 10.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's put up overall this year.

Luka Doncic has averaged 37.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Suns).

Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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