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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted 10.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's posted overall this season.

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 37.6 minutes per game this year.

The most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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