Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled 10.6 rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's compiled overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 37.6 minutes per game this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).
Luka Doncic should see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Washington Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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