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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has totaled 7.7 defensive boards per game away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic rates in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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