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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has totaled 7.7 defensive boards per game away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
  • The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic rates in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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