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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has put up 7.6 defensive boards per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
  • Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.9 minutes per game this year.
  • In comparison to last season's 2.5 rate, Luka Doncic's personal fouls per game have fallen this season to 1.6.
  • The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
  • Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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