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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled 7.9 defensive boards per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 98th percentile.

Luka Doncic has played 35.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 97th percentile.

The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, their opposition has collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Luka Doncic will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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